Oscar Watch 2026
or rather 2025!
For those new to Oscar Watch, I have been blogging about my love for the Oscars and predicting (or rather, trying to predict) the winners for many years. But I have been doing this for much, much longer than my blog, the earliest I can find is 1999. My average of correct predictions is 15-17 out of 24/25/16. My best is 2018 with 23 predictions correct, and I have gotten 20 a few times. I have definitely improved over the years, but a lot of changes in voting, membership in recent years have made it more difficult to predict. I have a lot of reputable sources I read, along with the knowledges of what is usually likely to win based on previous years. But like any ballot, there are wild cards, they can through you.
So, I like to share who I think will win, and who I would like to win. They are sometimes the same, but quite often not.
Oh, and do not mention the Golden Globes to me, nothing irritates me more. Yes, I watch them because I do love a spectacle. But what wins there has absolutely no indication as to who might win at The Oscars. The Hollywood Foreign Press vote for the GGs, and they are a strange bunch of people from each/most (who can really know!?!) countries. The Australian rep is always someone you have never heard of. They have more acting categories and for a very long time you could buy a win! True!! Supposedly not so much anymore. So if I read an article that mentions them, I can tell the person writing it has absolutely no understanding of things and is not a proper journalist!
Rant over, let's begin!
Best Picture
Here is my personal ranking:
One Battle After Another
Frankenstein
Bugonia
Hamnet
Sentimental Value
Sinners
F1
Train Dreams
Marty Supreme
Can't rank The Secret Agent as I did not see it.
This has been between One Battle After Another and Sinners, and One Battle seems to be edging the other out.
Who will win: One Battle After Another
Who I want to win: One Battle After Another
Actor - Leading
Extraordinary acting from everyone.
Michael B Jordan's duel role surely has it in the bag!
Leo could get up and I am there for it.
If Ethan wins, you will hear me screaming all over the world, lol!
Who will win: Michael B Jordan
Who I want to win: Ethan Hawke
Actor - Supporting
Anyone can win this, but I think Penn will get his third gold man and deservingly so. But I have a soft spot for Elordi's Monster in Frankenstein.
Who will win: Sean Penn
Who I want to win: Jacob Elordi
Actress - Leading
So many stunning performances, give them all an Oscar!
Who will win: Jessie Buckley
Who I want to win: Jessie Buckley
Actress - Supporting
Amy has been lauding it over the rest the entire season. Wunmi Mosaku could be a surprise win.
Who will win: Amy Madigan
Who I want to win: Amy Madigan
Director
Surely after all these years it is Paul Thomas Anderson.
Who will win: Paul Thomas Anderson
Who I want to win: Paul Thomas Anderson
Original Screenplay
Who will win: Sinners
Who I want to win: Blue Moon
Adapted Screenplay
Who will win: One Battle after Another
Who I want to win: Frankenstein
Cinematography
Who will win: One Battle After Another
Who I want to win: Frankenstein
International Feature
Who will win: Sentimental Value
Who I want to win: Sentimental Value
Documentary Feature
I have seen none of these, so going on my research.
Who will win: The Perfect Neighbor
Animated Feature
Again, yet to see.
Who will win: KPop Demon Hunters
Original Song
Diane Warren will lose again!
Who will win: Golden by KPop Demon Hunters
Who I want to win: Train Dreams from Train Dreams - Nick Cave, but of course!
Original Score
A film with music throughout must win this one and should win this one.
Who will win: Sinners
Who I want to win: Sinners
Film Editing
Who will win: One Battle After Another
Production Design/Costume Design/Hair and Makeup
Who will win: Frankenstein
Who I want to win: Frankenstein
Visual Effects
Who will win: Avatar: fire and ash
Who I want to win: F1
Sound
Who will win: F1
Who I want to win: F1
Animated Short
Who will win: Retirement Plan
Live Action Short
Who will win: The Singers
What I want to win: A friend of Dorothy
Documentary Short
Who will win: All the empty rooms
Casting
Who will win: Sinners
Who I want to win: Sinners
I will do a what actually happened/fashion blog after the big event tomorrow afternoon.
Enjoy, and tell me your thoughts!!!
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