Sunday, February 9, 2020

OSCAR WATCH 2020: The Predictions

As always I try to see how many categories I will get correct. My best score is 20 out of 24 categories THREE times, in 2009, 2014, and 2018.

I always add in who I'd like to see win, as they are usually completely different.


I saw all of the 9 Best Picture films this year and you can read about that here.

Actor In A Leading Role

Who Will Win:
 Joaquin Phoenix, Joker
It is a great performance, simple as that.

Who Should Win:  Adam Driver, Marriage Story
I have not seen The Two Popes or Pain and Glory, but I thought Adam Driver was fabulous. I loved Leo too, if he hadn't won previously he'd edge Driver out in my estimations. I do love that Banderas got a nom, his early stuff was fucking amazing and groundbreaking. A lot of people only know him for his crappy action films but his early foreign film and indie film work is something to be seen.

Actor In A Supporting Role

Who Will Win: Brad Pitt, Once Upon A Time in Hollywood
Whilst he jokes that he was really just playing himself, Pitt still shone in this role and since Fight Club he has been making such fabulous character choices, the golden boy is his and deservedly so.

Who Should Win: Brad Pitt, Once Upon A Time in Hollywood

Actress In A Leading Role

Who Will Win: Renee Zellweger, Judy
A remarkable performance in a very unremarkable film. 10 minutes in I knew she would win.

Who Should Win: Renee Zellweger, Judy
Yes I would also love to see Johansson win, but Zellweger had me at hello!

Actress In A Supporting Role

Who Will Win: Laura Dern, Marriage Story
And deservedly so, she steals every scene she is in. A solid actress who has been great since her first nomination all those years ago for Ramblin' Rose. But her renaissance of late has been spectacular. 

Who Should Win: Laura Dern, Marriage Story
But I do have a soft spot for Johansson in Jojo Rabbit.

Animated Feature

Who Will Win: Toy Story 4
Total refresh of a beloved franchise, thanks mostly to Tony Hale's Forky.

Who Should Win: Have not seen enough to comment, so N/A

Cinematography

Who Will Win: 1917
This usually goes hand in hand with Best Picture and the one shot was spectacular, given all the action.

Who Should Win: Once Upon a Time in Hollywood
It's my soft spot this year.

Costume

Who Will Win: Little Women
Everyone loves a costume drama.

Who Should Win: Jojo Rabbit
The clothes are part of the story

Directing

Who Will Win: 1917, Sam Mendes
It really was magnificently directed

Who Should Win: Quentin Tarrantino
Because is film is still outstanding and clever and nuanced.

Documentary Feature

Who Will Win: American Factory
I don't know or have seen any of these films. I did my usual research from the usual critics I respect and they ALL say this is the one. It is backed my Barack and Michelle Obama, so that should give it the edge...I think!

Who Should Win: N/A

Documentary Short Subject

Who Will Win: Learning to skateboard in a warzone
Again, purely from research but it sounds like something the Academy would vote from.

Who Should Win: N/A

Film Editing

Who Will Win: Ford V Ferrari
All those fabulous racing scenes bring this to the forefront.

Who Should Win: Ford V Ferrari

International Feature Film

Who Will Win: Parasite
It may pip 1917 but it will get this. It is a great film and well loved all round.

Who Should Win: Parasite

Makeup and Hairstyling

Who Will Win: Bombshell
This seems to be the hotshot all round, making the girls in the roles look like their real life counterparts.

Who Should Win: Judy
I really thought turning Zellweger into an older Judy (though they are probably roughly the same age)  was remarkable.

Original Score

Who Will Win: The Joker
I do remember how much the soundtrack added to the intensity of the film.

Who Should Win: The Joker
It was the one that stood out the most to me, although you cannot beat the iconic Star Wars music.

Original Song

Who Will Win: Rocketman
Hello, of course they want to give Elton another Oscar, especially as it will be with Bernie this time!

Who Should Win: Rocketman
It is a great song

Best Picture

Who Will Win: 1917
It is the kind of film that wins. Parasite seems to be the one that could take it away and as good as that was I loved others better. 

Who Should Win: Once Upon a Time in Hollywood
Or Jojo Rabbit or Marriage Story, those are my faves this year.

Production Design

Who Will Win: 1917
To design all that we saw to take one shot is quite remarkable.

Who Should Win: Once Upon a Time in Hollywood
He recreated that era of Hollywood and it looked amazing.

Animated Short Film

Who Will Win: Hair Love
Huge love for this on the interwebs

Who Should Win: N/A

Live Action Short Film

Who Will Win: The Neighbors' Window
A lot of love for this too and it sounds great
Who Should Win: N/A

Sound Editing/Sound Mixing

Who Will Win: 1917
How can it not, so much going on, one shot, the sound was grating and intense and everything.

Who Should Win: 1917

Visual Effects

Who Will Win: 1917
How did they pull this off in one shot, freaking amazing

Who Should Win: 1917

Adapted Screenplay

Who Will Win: Jojo Rabbit
What a remarkable story, it is a holocaust story with Hitler as a main character and they pulled it off, the screenplay is why!

Who Should Win: Jojo Rabbit
Although I would be really happy to see Greta win this for Little Women

Original Screenplay

Who Will Win: Parasite
A truly original story, it has won a lot already

Who Should Win: Once Upon a Time in Hollywood
QT has won twice already but this is a great story, so would be great to see him win again.

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